A player has "broken out" once a season tops this (TEs judged at ~70%, since 14 is elite for a TE). Candidates = those who never have.
Risk lens
Tilt toward each player's projection floor (safe) or ceiling (upside).
Scoring / position value
Standard values TEs at their real (lower) fantasy PPG so a great TE doesn't float up to great-WR level. TE‑premium boosts them. Within‑pos ignores position (pure peer rank).
Tiers / dropoffs
Groups the board into tiers and marks the big dropoffs in value.
Minimum data
Rookies%In-career%
Hides anyone below this much lever coverage (the "data" column) instead of showing a low-confidence Fit for them -- each measured against what's achievable for HIS pool, so these are two independent knobs, not one shared number. Rookies default low (5%) since thin NFL-stat coverage is structural for them, not a red flag -- pedigree/college/combine is the whole picture pre-debut. In-career defaults low too (25%): a 50% default was hiding a coming-off-injury player with a real but short season (e.g. 4 games, 30% coverage) right alongside the players this board specifically exists to surface -- exactly what the ghost-row shrink earlier today was built to protect, undone an hour later by this default. Raise it to 40-50% yourself when you specifically want a high-confidence-only view; nothing's hidden without you asking for it now. Set either to 0 to turn it off.
Levers
Ranking
#
Player
Pos
Team
vs proj
vs market
Fit
data
Proj (range)
Live formulaFit = ( Σ w·zstat ) ÷ Σ w × confidence